My daughter had a panic attack while looking at the cover of a book about home security. She was so afraid of what might happen to her in the event of an attack that she ran for the bus and ended up at the emergency room. That was a little stressful.
In the wake of the September 11th attacks, a number of federal agencies have increased their funding for home safety programs. One of these agencies is FEMA. The purpose of these programs is to increase the awareness of what to do in the event of a national emergency. In order to do that, they need to understand how to properly assess risk and how to mitigate it.
A recent study by the Center for the Study of Responsive Public Policy, a public policy think tank, shows that one way to do this is by looking at the different risk factors that affect different levels of the population. This is pretty much what you get when you look at a risk factor as a category.
As a way to assess risk factors, there are a few different types. One is the “risk factor,” the factors that affect risk and not probability like age and gender, for instance. Another type is the “probability factor,” like a chance of getting a certain disease or condition. The third is the “consequences factor,” the factors that affect the likelihood of certain consequences.
The probability factor is the most straight forward to assess. It just depends how many people are in the mix. There are some factors that are more common than others. For instance, we all know that cancer is more likely to happen to women because they have more children, and hence cancer is a factor in determining the chance of someone having the disease.
For more concrete examples of the probability factor consider the following. Suppose that a particular person is a smoker. The chances of them dying from the disease are two in three. However, if they quit smoking and try to live a normal life, the chances of them dying from the disease are one in thirty. Even if the risk of dying is one in ten, that’s still a very real risk.
Cancer is like a black box as far as I’m concerned because I don’t do random math, which is why I’ve made this rule since I’ve been doing this for a long time now. But if you have cancer, I’m going to make you a note that I’m concerned.
People get cancer because the odds are just too high. But if you try to live a normal life, the odds are far lower. In other words, the longer you keep smoking, the more likely you will die.
If you smoke at all and you have cancer, you know you will die. Not that anyone would die from smoking, but it is a risk you should be aware of. I know that sounds crazy, but sometimes you just don’t realize the dangers of your actions. If you want to know what are the worst things you can do, try to do them every day.
This is also the reason why you should never drive a car with a flat tire. The odds are that if you drive it into a ditch, you will die. The odds of dying from a car accident are much lower than cancer, which is why you should NEVER drive a car with a flat tire.